like the stock market isn't the economy, America just isn't the 12 states of the 2020 campaign
Maybe we can now just wait for every vote to be counted. Fortunately we’re past the fail-safe point of the Comey email fiasco of 2016 and its associated manipulation by the NY Times. We may be out of October Surprises. Even Putin seems to have officially cut Trump loose.
Then on October 27, Michael Bloomberg, former New York mayor and presidential candidate, pumped $15 million into two Republican strongholds, Texas and Ohio. He had been laser-focused on Florida, contributing $100 million towards turning that state blue. But as we entered the home stretch of the election, Bloomberg’s private polling sources indicated Trump’s vulnerabilities in two states that he had won by wide margins in 2016, Texas and Ohio. The last minute, multimillion-dollar boost will air intensive ad campaigns in all television markets in both states.
Bloomberg’s decision is indicative of just how much the electoral tectonic plates have shifted recently. The reason? Coronavirus and Trump’s total andcatastrophic deception and lack of leadershipwhen the country needed it most. It did not go unnoticed by suburban women and fanned the flames of his unpopularity going into the final days.
Virtually all of the 2020 campaign has been in 12 states (based on campaign events).
Click this link and let your lawmakers know we should all be part of the campaign. Tell them it's time for America to elect the President by a popular vote. https://t.co/zYDffKg3W4pic.twitter.com/xmXhSmmBQr
But what if Trump wins Pennsylvania a second time? Polling expert Nate Silver examines that possibility on his FiveThirtyEight website.
Silver notes that although polls are showing Biden with an advantage in Michigan and Wisconsin, “The polls have been tighter in Pennsylvania.” Citing FiveThirtyEight's polling analysis, Silver explains, “Biden's current lead is just 5.1 points, and in 2016, polls were off by 4.4 points in the Keystone State — Trump won it by 0.7 points after trailing in our final polling average by 3.7 points there. So, with a 2016-style polling error in Pennsylvania, Biden would be cutting it awfully close — perhaps even so close that court rulings on factors like 'naked ballots' could swing the outcome.”
[…]
“(Pennsylvania) is close to being a must-win for Trump, who has only a 2% chance of winning the Electoral College if he loses Pennsylvania,” Silver argues. “Biden, however, has a bit more margin for error. He'd have a 30% chance if he lost Pennsylvania, which isn't great but is also higher than, say, Trump's overall chances on Election Day 2016.”
If Biden loses Pennsylvania, according to Silver, he still has some paths to victory, but minus Pennsylvania, the Sun Belt becomes even more important for him. Sun Belt states in which Biden is competitive include Florida, Arizona and Georgia, among others.
[…]
It wouldn't be the blowout that Democrats hope for, but Biden would still retain an edge in the Electoral College even without winning his birth state.”
84% of stock market value is owned by the richest 10%
“but what about 401(k)s”
Half of Americans don't have one The average 401(k) balance has *declined* $5,000 in 6 years after inflation, because employers put in less & people can't afford contributionshttps://t.co/kP0qejIEFv
To those who believe mkts are down bc Wall St thinks Biden could win & they’ll be crushed by regulation & taxes, why would campaign contributions look like this? 👇 https://t.co/YFRsroewHP
Smart economists all flagging not to buy Trump’s line that a high 3rdQ GDP means we are “roaring back”
— Hole is so deep, 53% growth needed to return to pre-COVID GDP — data shows recovery & jobs market slowing Aug-Oct. — Trump failure to get relief bill risks 4th downturn
To understand the suburbs as imagined by Donald Trump and Joe Biden, you first have to understand that neither of them is really talking about the suburbs. They are talking about segregation. @zakcheneyrice writes https://t.co/uq91rJImLG
Whoever picks his music secretly hates him just like whoever does his hair/makeup. @linkinpark issued a cease and desist order against his criminal ass for using THIS SAME SONG in one of his propaganda videos IN JUNE. The guy cannot NOT commit crimes.https://t.co/aW8MDghYAu
One quote from that conversation: “The most dangerous people around the president are overconfident idiots,” said by kushner. The lack of self awareness is astounding.
