IA-Sen: New Selzer Poll Has Theresa Greenfield (D) Beating Joni Ernst (R) 45-42

Some very good news today out of Iowa:

With just over six weeks to Election Day, the new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows Greenfield leading 45% to 42% among likely voters. Another 3% say they would vote for someone else, 2% say they would not vote in the race and 7% are unsure.

Despite heavy campaigning and millions spent on television ads, the results are largely unchanged since June, when Greenfield led Ernst 46% to 43%.

“I will admit to some skepticism about the numbers that we saw in June because we were so close to the primary and Theresa Greenfield was relatively unknown,” said J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., which conducted the poll. “But she is holding her own, and I think that says something about Joni Ernst's vulnerability.”

The poll was conducted Sept. 14 through 17 and includes responses from 803 Iowa adults, including 658 likely voters. Questions asked of Iowa adults have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Those asked of likely voters have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.

By the way, this isn’t helping Ernst:


First-term Iowa senator Joni Ernst, whose chances of re-election are on a knife-edge, expressed her condolences at Justice Ginsburg’s passing on Twitter – only for her campaign to send out fundraising messages.

Local political news site Iowa Starting Line reported that just 10 minutes after the announcement of Justice Ginsburg’s death, the Ernst campaign sent Supreme Court-themed calls for donations by both texts and emails.
While the text message did not refer specifically to Justice Ginsburg’s passing, its content was all too resonant: “The next Supreme Court Justice will be decided by Dems if we lose the White House and the Senate. Help hold the line.” Included was a link to a fundraising page.

Yeah, people really didn't like that. FYI:


Let's keep up the momentum to flip Iowa Blue. Click below to donate and get involved with Greenfield, Biden and their fellow Iowa Democrats campaigns:

Joe Biden


Theresa Greenfield

Abby Finkenauer

Cindy Axne

Rita Hart

JD Scholten

Iowa Democratic Party

  • September 19, 2020