As in 2016 there are key counties that will lead to victories. The NY Times identifies 20 of them, even if there could be surprises in the final counting. The weird calculations include the multiple visits in 2016 and 2020 to Macomb county, Michigan by Trump and the insistence on thinking that superspreader rallies are the key to victories even as 700 people have been COVID-killed by 18 Trump rallies.
What’s worse is assuming that polling will help predetermine the final vote counts at the county level. The 155,000 victory vote margin in 2016 only makes us even further incensed by the 2020 campaign. 48 damn hours left. And malign stuff might be happening. In spite of too much angle playing, can one assume Americans didn't care how corrupt Trump is, especially if he wins regardless of our best efforts.
Many of the places that were critical to President Trump’s victory four years ago will also decide whether he wins a second term or loses to Joseph R. Biden Jr. Let’s take a look at where Mr. Trump’s support was strongest and weakest in the 2016 election.
— Jennifer Cohn ✍🏻 📢 (@jennycohn1) October 22, 2020
— Wajahat “Wears a Mask Because of a Pandemic” Ali (@WajahatAli) November 2, 2020
— Ronald Klain (@RonaldKlain) November 2, 2020
— Jay Rosen (@jayrosen_nyu) November 2, 2020
— Laurence Tribe (@tribelaw) November 2, 2020