Last updated on October 28, 2020
The NYT/Siena Poll, rated A+ by 538, shows Biden and Trump tied at 45%. Georgia was won by Trump in 2016 by 5.3%.
A shift against President Trump among white college-educated voters in Georgia has imperiled Republicans up and down the ballot, according to a New York Times/Siena College survey on Tuesday, as Republicans find themselves deadlocked or trailing in Senate races where their party was once considered the heavy favorite.
Democratic Senate candidates Jon Ossoff has improved his standing in the poll to a tie with Republican incumbent David Perdue, 43% to 43%. A month ago Perdue led in the same poll by 4 points. There will be a runoff in January if no one gets to 50%.
The best news from the poll is for Democrat Raphael Warnock who leads the field with 32% for the special Senate election which will pit all candidates against each other with the top two going to a runoff if no one gets to 50%. Appointed Republican Senator Kelly Loeffler has 23% and Doug Collins 17%. A month ago Warnock was running second to Loeffler 23% to 21%
The poll also measured Warnock against both leading Republican for the likely runoff race in January. For now Warnock leads both Republicans by 45% to 41% in one-on-one matchups.
Total Voted by Race and Ethnicity
Race Count Percent Non-Hispanic White 946,163 55.8 Non-Hispanic Black 516,101 30.5 Hispanic 34,352 2.0 Non-Hispanic Asian American 38,254 2.3 Non-Hispanic Native American 2,181 0.1 Other/Multiple/Unknown 157,477 9.3 TOTAL 1,694,528 100.0
Recent Presidential polls have been all over from Biden +7 to Trump +2, but Biden may have the momentum. Website 538 shows Trump with a 51% chance of winning in Georgia and it is the one swing state where he has been outspending Biden.
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