Some great news today out of Florida courtesy of Quinnipiac University’s latest poll:
Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum, the Democrat, crosses the key 50 percent threshold and leads former U.S. Rep. Ron DeSantis 54 – 45 percent among likely voters in the Florida governor's race, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released today.
This compares to a too-close-to-call outcome in a September 4 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll, showing Mayor Gillum with 50 percent and DeSantis with 47 percent.
Women and independent voters are the main drivers of Gillum's lead:
- Women back the Democrat 59 – 39 percent, as men are divided, with 51 percent for DeSantis and 48 percent for Gillum.
- Independent voters back Gillum 56 – 40 percent. Republicans back DeSantis 90 – 9 percent. Gillum leads 96 – 2 percent among Democrats.
Black and Hispanic voters also contribute to the Democrat's lead, as black voters back Gillum 98 – 2 percent and Hispanic voters support him 59 – 41 percent. White voters back DeSantis 53 – 45 percent.
Among Florida likely voters who name a candidate choice, 94 percent say their mind is made up.
Gillum gets a 55 – 31 percent favorability rating, while DeSantis gets a slightly negative 42 – 47 percent favorability rating.
“Former U.S. Rep. Ron DeSantis appears to be outspending Mayor Andrew Gillum, his Democratic opponent, in television advertising by a sizable amount, usually a sign of a winning campaign,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
“Yet, all these TV ads don't seem to be helping DeSantis' campaign.”
“Those TV ads, run in an effort to introduce DeSantis to Florida voters, are airing at the same time his favorability numbers are sinking and Mayor Gillum's are rising,” Brown added.
“When asked whether they view each of the candidates favorably or unfavorably, Gillum's rating is 24 percentage points positive, and DeSantis' score is 5 points negative. At this point, Gillum's biggest asset is just that voters like him better.
“DeSantis is spending a lot for TV commercials, but they don't seem to be effective.”
For 20 percent of Florida likely voters, the economy is the most important issue in their vote for governor, as 14 percent name immigration; 14 percent list education; 14 percent cite health care, with 13 percent for the environment and 12 percent for gun policy.
Gillum is too liberal, 39 percent of Florida likely voters say, while 54 percent say he is neither too liberal nor too conservative.
DeSantis is too conservative, 39 percent of voters say, as 52 percent say he is neither too liberal nor too conservative.
Let’s keep up the momentum and have the Blue Wave hit Florida big time. Click below to donate and get involved with Gillum and his fellow Florida Democrats campaigns: