Cook Political Report has changed its ratings on five US House races, four in the direction of the Democratic candidate.
Kansas CD-2 became more likely to remain Republican after incumbent Steve Watkins-R lost his primary. Watkins was charged with voter fraud after he listed a UPS store as his official residence.
David Schweikert of Arizona’s CD-6 was reprimanded by the US House and found guilty of 11 counts of ethics violations, and he agreed to pay a 50,000 dollar fine. His race has been moved to “Tossup”.
Ann Wagner of Missouri’s CD-2 race was also moved to “Tossup” because her district consists of the suburbs south and west of the city of St. Louis. Polls from Missouri show Trump has only a single digit lead statewide and Missouri voted this week to expand Medicare with St. Louis County voting in favor of the measure.
| District | Old Rating | New Rating | Incumbent | Possible reasons |
| AZ-6 | Lean R | Tossup | Schweikert-R | reprimanded, 50K fine |
| KS-2 | Lean R | Likely R | Open-R | Incumbent defeated |
| KS-3 | Lean D | Likely D | Davids-D | Strong Polling |
| MI-6 | Likely R | Lean R | Upton-R | Weak Polling |
| MO-2 | Lean R | Tossup | Wagner-R | Suburban district |
