Cook Political Report has changed its ratings on five US House races, four in the direction of the Democratic candidate.
Kansas CD-2 became more likely to remain Republican after incumbent Steve Watkins-R lost his primary. Watkins was charged with voter fraud after he listed a UPS store as his official residence.
David Schweikert of Arizona’s CD-6 was reprimanded by the US House and found guilty of 11 counts of ethics violations, and he agreed to pay a 50,000 dollar fine. His race has been moved to “Tossup”.
Ann Wagner of Missouri’s CD-2 race was also moved to “Tossup” because her district consists of the suburbs south and west of the city of St. Louis. Polls from Missouri show Trump has only a single digit lead statewide and Missouri voted this week to expand Medicare with St. Louis County voting in favor of the measure.
|District||Old Rating||New Rating||Incumbent||Possible reasons|
|AZ-6||Lean R||Tossup||Schweikert-R||reprimanded, 50K fine|
|KS-2||Lean R||Likely R||Open-R||Incumbent defeated|
|KS-3||Lean D||Likely D||Davids-D||Strong Polling|
|MI-6||Likely R||Lean R||Upton-R||Weak Polling|
|MO-2||Lean R||Tossup||Wagner-R||Suburban district|