With the latest CNN poll showing Trump nationally behind Biden by 14 points, Philip Bump does an interesting take on Trump’s need to believe his ultimate victory on the way to his bunker. Trump now has a personal pollster who is committed to telling his client what he wants to hear. Please proceed, IMPOTUS*. Trump’s hope for a repeat of 2016 has as much credibility as claiming pepper balls aren’t chemical irritants.
If there’s a pollster whose results are suspect in this particular tiff, it’s not the pollster Trump is criticizing. It’s the pollster he has asked to offer the criticism.x
…Crooked Hillary Clinton in 2016. They are called SUPPRESSION POLLS, and are put out to dampen enthusiasm. Despite 3 ÃÂ½ years of phony Witch Hunts, we are winning, and will close it out on November 3rd! pic.twitter.com/4IhuLUZjsvÃ¢ÂÂ Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 8, 2020
First of all, that’s a goofy argument. If you want to suppress enthusiasm — something which Trump’s own campaign in 2016 admitted doing — you generally try to do so when people are actually voting. Trying to suppress votes now is like trying to suppress your appetite for Thanksgiving dinner on the Fourth of July. Lots of time for it to return.x
What hasn’t been shown to be the case is that pollsters such as CNN and SSRS end up wildly off the mark in national polling because of how they select their respondents and weight their responses.
Perhaps the worst pollster of 2018 pic.twitter.com/Sl3jUkt1Ki
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) June 8, 2020
As protests and a pandemic continue, the President's approval rating dips to 38%, a CNN poll says. He's 14 points behind Biden in the White House race. https://t.co/ZHDX90oQhr
— CNN (@CNN) June 8, 2020
Breaking News: A U.S. recession began in February, the association of economists that officially designates downturns said. It's the first economic downturn since the Great Recession. https://t.co/ZDJ091U7fj pic.twitter.com/oeh0jpAbga
— The New York Times (@nytimes) June 8, 2020