Iowacaucus

And it is my batting average when it comes to picking Democratic presidential candidates.  And it’s bad.  Otherwise, 2020 is a sea of poltiical confusion, or so you would think if you are a political junkie. For starters, I don’t think I have picked an eventual nominee since I first...

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  • February 7, 2020

I’m not sure how to feel about this Iowa caucus snafu, other than to ask, once again — why the hell does Iowa have such an outsized influence on who gets to be president? It looks bad on a few levels: Turnout was mediocre, which suggests enthusiasm is not where it...

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  • February 4, 2020

Everybody is really upset they are not getting the results right away. There will be about a sixteen hour lag. Let’s see what good is coming from this. 1. A direct illustration of the importance of having a paper trail. This is something we desperately need for all elections, right...

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  • February 4, 2020

Even David Plouffe who tried not to criticize the Iowa caucus system because he onced work for the Iowa Democratic Party said that this will probaby be the last Iowa caucus.  I was like a lot of other political junkies trying to get my fix by watching the results come...

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  • February 4, 2020

Fascinating, as the first vote in Port Charlotte, Florida had Klobuchar and Buttigieg in the lead in the first round. Watching real-time democratic processes can be fun despite Chris Cillizza and Scott Jennings on the CNN panel. The demographics reveal themselves with generally older voters in snowbird locations. x Update: the only thing...

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  • February 3, 2020

Some final polls and trends before the caucuses. x FWIW, we're going to remove YouGov's poll today from our averages. What they published is really a MRP model, not a poll, and not comparable to previous YouGov polls of IA. Revised figures for top 5 are as follows:Sanders 22.2Biden 21.4Buttigieg...

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  • February 3, 2020

Years ago I worked as an organizer in Iowa. I went to college there but it was a bubble and did not understand the state. I worked inside the caucus room twice and was a miserable failure both times. Some things to remember and why second choice polling is not...

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  • January 25, 2020
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