I’ve told friends that I’m not going to completely relax until the moment Joe Biden is sworn in by Chief Justice John Roberts on January 20. (And after he’s reelected, I’ll look forward to his swearing-in ceremony with Hillary Clinton, the chief justice of the newly packed Supreme Court, which Thief Justice Neal Gorsuch and vapid Jesus-bot Amy Coney Barrett will have to share with Barack, Michelle, and Malia Obama, et al. We can even throw George Soros in there just for shits and giggles. And since I want Sean Hannity’s heart to burst like an unexploded World War I landmine, let’s put Al Sharpton on there, too.)
Anyway, what was I saying? Yes, the election. I feel pretty good about it, but I don’t feel great. Yet.
To paraphrase Peter Gibbons from Office Space, “Ever since Donald Trump started running for president, every single day of my life has been worse than the day before it. So that means that every single day that you see me, that's on the worst day of my life.”
But today? Well, it’s only slightly worse than the day before, in part because of this …
Mr. Biden has maintained a nearly 2-to-1 advantage on the airwaves for months. His dominance is most pronounced in three critical swing states — Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — where he spent about $53 million to Mr. Trump’s $17 million over the past month largely on ads assailing the president’s handling of the virus as well as the economy and taxes, according to data from Advertising Analytics, an ad tracking firm.
The president’s ad strategy, in turn, reflects the challenges facing both his campaign finances and Electoral College map. He has recently scaled back advertising in battleground states like Ohio and Iowa and, until this past week, slashed ads in Michigan and Wisconsin, despite being behind in polls. And Mr. Trump is having to divert resources to hold onto Republican-leaning states like Arizona and Georgia.
If fundraising is a proxy for enthusiasm — and on some level it has to be, right? — then Biden’s burgeoning war chest is a good omen in and of itself. But we also know that Biden has an easier path to 270 electoral votes, whereas the Trump campaign is defending territory it probably never thought it would need to fret about.
Then there’s Trump’s message, which essentially boils down to … we need to reopen the economy no matter how dangerous it would be, and, hey, wouldn’t it be cool if someone took another shot at kidnapping Michigan’s governor? Nudge, nudge, wink, wink. Also, the great economy Trump inherited from Obama was really, really great before Trump drove it into a ditch and left it there.
But while Biden’s spending advantage in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin shows that he has learned the lessons of 2016 — i.e., those erstwhile “blue wall” states are crucial to the Democrats’ fortunes — Biden is also harrying Trump in more traditionally red states that are suddenly in reach.
But while the traditional swing states occupy most of the attention, Mr. Devine says the Biden campaign’s dominance in Arizona is among the biggest indicators of his campaign’s strength.
“If you can move into the other guy’s terrain and force them either to defend it or actually make a play to take it away from them,” [Democratic ad strategist Tad] Devine said, “that’s the single most aggressive play there is in a presidential campaign — to move against an opponent in turf that belongs to them.”
The Biden campaign’s large investment in Arizona has forced the Trump campaign to move some money around as well, adding $5.7 million more to its ad reservations in Arizona since Aug. 30.
Of course, Trump is running out of time, and his current pitch to the American people for a second term is pretty weak sauce. It’s “Joe Biden is a socialist who will start a depression” and “I know you don’t understand this Hunter Biden story that Rudy brought back from Russia, but, well, crack cocaine and Ukraine something-something.”
So can I afford to relax a little? I don’t think so. But that’s just me.
This guy is a natural. Sometimes I laugh so hard I cry.” — Bette Midler on Aldous J. Pennyfarthing, via Twitter. Find out what made dear Bette break up. Dear Fcking Lunatic: 101 Obscenely Rude Letters to Donald Trump and its boffo sequels Dear Prsident A**clown: 101 More Rude Letters to Donald Trump and Dear F*cking Moron: 101 More Letters to Donald Trump by Aldous J. Pennyfarthing are now available for a song! Click those links, yo!
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