Biden +13% in PA, +11% in FL, +5% in IA; Will Begin Ads in Texas

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/…

Let’s start by saying the national polls don’t look promising for Trump. YouGov, a B rated pollster, has Biden leading 51% to 42%, and USC Dornsife, B/C rated, has him ahead 53% to 42%. The unkindest poll of all for Trump is Rasmussen, C rated, which has Biden leading 52% to 40%.

The state polls range from poor to horrendous for Trump. Especially the newly released surveys from Quinnipiac University, a B+ pollster, taken from October 1-5 from likely voters.

Today's State Polls for President
State Pollster & Rating Biden Trump Others Trump Margin Trump 2016
AZ Data Orbital (A/B) 48% 43% 3% -5% +3.5%
FL Cherry Com. (B/C)*

Quinnipiac    (B+)

49%

51%

44%

40%

-5%

-11%

+1.3%
IA Civiqs            (B/C)

Quinnipiac     (B+)

48%

50%

47%

45%

-1%

-5%

+9%
MD Change Res.  (C-) 61% 32% -29% -26.9
MO Garin-Hart    (B/C)* 48% 50% +2% +18.7%
NV Siena             (A+) 48% 42% 3% -6% -2.4%
PA Quinnipiac    (B+) 54% 41% -13% +0.73%
OH Siena            (A+) 45% 44% 3% -1% +8%
TX    EMC               -*

Civiqs             (B/C)

49%

48%

49%

48%

0

0

+9%
WI    Marquette     (A/B) 47% 42% 4% -5% +0.77%
WV Triton              – 38% 56% +18% +42%
  • = Partisan Poll