Here’s the latest news today out of Arizona courtesy of OH Predictive Insights latest poll:
Senator Martha McSally is defending her seat in the upcoming 2020 cycle early polling shows that she currently holds an edge over her two likeliest contenders, though she is under the 50% threshold in each matchup.
While Mark Kelly is the only declared Democrat for the Arizona Senate, there is heavy speculation that Ruben Gallego will also declare.
“Kelly outperforms Gallego in several key areas meanwhile electoral problems for McSally continue to persist, ” said Mike Noble, Chief of Research and Managing Partner of Phoenix-based research company OH Predictive Insights. “Arizona’s most recent Senate race was a barn burner and with this early look we may be in for another.”
The survey was conducted February 12 and February 13, with a sample of 600 respondents qualified as likely voters. A Blended Live/Auto caller survey with 47% cell and 53% landline were used to collect the sample, yielding a +/-4% MOE.
Senator McSally leads astronaut Mark Kelly in a head-to-head by 2 points, 46% to 44%. Kelly recently announced his bid for the office and raised over $1 million in the 24 hours following the release of his campaign video. Congressman Ruben Gallego tweeted that he was still making up his mind and would announce his intention soon, and he has been actively eyeing the seat, however he is 8 points behind McSally as she leads 49% to 41%.
We are still waiting to see if Gallego will jump into this race but he will have plenty of time to build up his support and recognition in the state. Kelly, though, already makes this race a toss-up. In the meantime, click here if you want to donate and get involved with Kelly’s campaign.