AZ-Sen: New OH Predictive Insights Poll Has Mark Kelly (D) Leading Martha McSally (R) 48-43

Here’s the latest news today out of Arizona:

A poll released Tuesday found that U.S. Sen. Martha McSally’s support has remained the same, but she has still cut into Democrat Mark Kelly’s lead.

Kelly led OH Predictive Insights’ poll 48%-43% but he fell below 50% for the first time. He was up by as many as 13 percentage points in May.

A month ago, McSally was behind 52%-43%.

Something to keep in mind:

Among independent voters in Arizona, Kelly still maintains a significant lead, garnering 47 percent support to McSally’s 34 percent. But that 13-point margin is down from a 27-point spread in July, when Kelly captured the support of 57 percent of independents and McSally took only 32 percent.

At the same time, the percentage of independent voters who are unsure of whom they will vote for in November rose from 8 percent in July to 15 percent this month. Jacob Joss, a data analyst at OH Predictive Insights, said that McSally may have a shot of holding on to her seat in November if current trends hold.

“If McSally continues on her current flight path, she has a shot at winning this election,” Joss said.

Also:

According to officials with OH Predictive Insights, the poll was conducted from August 3 to August 4, from a sample of likely voters, via a blend of live phone calls and Interactive Voice Response (IVR) phone surveys.

604 people were surveyed, according to officials, with a margin of error of plus or minus four percent.

Also, we’ve seen Kelly’s lead be anything from a single-digit to a double-digit lead but his lead has been consistent and and we need to keep up the momentum to help him cross the finish line. Click below to donate and get involved with Kelly, Biden and their fellow Arizona Democrats campaigns:

Joe Biden

Arizona:



Mark Kelly

Hiral Tiperneni

Tom O’Halleran

Arizona Democratic Party