AZ-Sen: Monmouth Poll Has Mark Kelly (D) Leading Martha McSally (R) 50-44, Biden Beating Trump 48-44

Some very good news today out of Arizona courtesy of Monmouth University’s latest poll:


In Arizona’s U.S. Senate contest, Kelly leads McSally by 6 points among registered voters (50% to 44%), which is identical to where the race stood in March. Among likely voters, his lead is 4 points in a high turnout scenario (50% to 46%) and one point in a low turnout scenario (49% to 48%). Among independents, Kelly has 60% support to 33% for McSally. Among partisans, Kelly has 97% of the Democratic vote while McSally has 88% of the Republican vote.

Kelly gets a positive rating from registered voters – 48% favorable and 29% unfavorable, with 22% having no opinion of him. In March, the Democrat’s rating was 41% favorable, 17% unfavorable, and 42% no opinion. McSally, on the other hand, earns a divided rating of 40% favorable and 42% unfavorable, with 18% having no opinion of her. The Republican’s March rating was similar at 35% favorable and 39% unfavorable, with 26% having no opinion. McSally was appointed to fill the late Sen. John McCain’s seat after she lost the election for the state’s other Senate seat two years ago.

“Kelly is simply well-liked by voters and McSally already has a recent loss under her belt. The advantage of her appointed incumbency seems to be providing limited benefit,” said Murray.

By the way, Kaiser Family Foundation released their own polls in Arizona, North Carolina and Florida last night:



— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) September 17, 2020

Click here for the full results.

Let’s keep up the momentum to flip Arizona Blue. Click below to donate and get involved with Kelly, Biden and their fellow Arizona Democrats campaigns:


Mark Kelly

Hiral Tiperneni

Tom O’Halleran

Arizona Democratic Party

Arizona Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee