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79% of Americans now believe Biden won. Will this help sweep Georgia's Senate elections

3 min read

In the midst of increased voting plurality is this also true: “Trump appears to also have increased strength among rural Black voters across the ‘Black Belt.’” Will that then also reveal itself in the Georgia special US Senate election on 5 January.

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— Andrew deGrandpre (@adegrandpre) November 11, 2020

Not without more detail could this conclusion of “Trump inroads among Blacks” really be more generalized.

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— Alex Thompson (@AlxThomp) November 11, 2020

Wilson County, N.C.

We'd highlighted this, a place visited by Vice President Pence last month, as one of the counties where the president was trying to cut into Democratic strength with rural Black voters. He pulled it off, adding more than twice as many votes as Biden did, compared with Hillary Clinton. Trump repeated that across most of the “Black Belt,” here and in much of the South — even Georgia, where Biden holds a statewide lead unlikely to be reversed by a recount. Some of Trump's overperformance came from new White voters who'd skipped the 2016 election. But the pattern across rural Black counties is clear, even if exit polls don't yet have enough data to be used. Democratic Rep. G.K. Butterfield, who represents a majority-Black district in the region, led the initial vote count by eight points; in 2016, Clinton carried that district by 11 points.
Biden: 20,579 (+916)
Trump: 17,531 (+1,906)
Third parties: 941 (-605)

www.washingtonpost.com/…

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— Alec MacGillis (@AlecMacGillis) November 11, 2020

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— Jennifer Cohn ✍🏻 📢 (@jennycohn1) November 9, 2020

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— Jennifer Cohn ✍🏻 📢 (@jennycohn1) November 8, 2020

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— Joe Katz (@joekatz45) November 8, 2020

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— SafetyPin-Daily (@SafetyPinDaily) November 11, 2020

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