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How The Democrats Can Takeover Senate Majority in 2020

Assume all other seats are safe for either party besides the toss-up seats below, the Democrats will need to hold:

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  • AL Doug Jones
  • MI Gary Peters
  • MN Tina Smith
  • NH Jeanne Shaheen
  • NM Tom Udall [*Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.]
  • VA Mark Warner

And flip 4 out of the 12 to take over the majority:

  • AZ Martha McSally
  • CO Cory Gardner
  • GA Johnny Isakson [*Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.]
  • GA David Perdue
  • IA Joni Ernst
  • KS Pat Roberts [*Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.]
  • KY Mitch McConnell
  • ME Susan Collins
  • MS Cindy Hyde-Smith
  • MT Steve Daines
  • NC Thom Tillis
  • TX John Cornyn

Right now there are 11 Republican seats that are very likely to stay in Republican hands and 6 Democratic seats that are very likely to stay in Democratic hands. This means the Democrats will need to win 3 out of the 12 current Republican seats from the toss-up list above to tie or 4 seats to take over the majority. Of course, we will need to hold all of our toss-ups seats.

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